Michigan Population Projections (2026–2035) at the County Level We have created this resource to help individuals and organizations understand how their state’s population may change in the coming years, if current trends continue. There are many factors that these projections cannot take into account, such as future changes in immigration patterns or how racial and ethnic groups are categorized in the data. ## RDH Date Retrieval 10/24/2025 ## Sources 2020 County-Level Population Data from the [U.S. Census Bureau's 2020 Redistricting Data (P.L. 94-171)](https://api.census.gov/data/2020/dec/pl/variables.html). 2023 American Community Survey (ACS) County-Level Population Data from the [U.S. Census Bureau](https://api.census.gov/data/2023/acs/acs5/variables.html). ## Fields: Field Name Description ----------------------------------------------------------- COUNTYFP County FIP Identifier COUNTY County Name STATE State Name STATEFP State FIP Identifier Projected_TotalPop_2026 Projected Total Population in Year 2026 Projected_HispanicOrLatino_2026 Projected Hispanic or Latino Population in Year 2026 Projected_NotHisp_WhiteAlone_2026 Projected Non-Hispanic White Alone Population in Year 2026 Projected_NotHisp_BlackOrAfAmAlone_2026 Projected Non-Hispanic Black or African-American Alone Population in Year 2026 Projected_NotHisp_AmIndianOrAKNativeAlone_2026 Projected Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native Alone Population in Year 2026 Projected_NotHisp_AsianAlone_2026 Projected Non-Hispanic Asian Alone Population in Year 2026 Projected_NotHisp_PacificIslanderAlone_2026 Projected Non-Hispanic Pacific Islander Alone Population in Year 2026 Projected_NotHisp_OtherRaceAlone_2026 Projected Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Alone Population in Year 2026 Projected_NotHisp_TwoOrMoreRaces_2026 Projected Non-Hispanic Two or More Races Population in Year 2026 Projected_TotalPop_2027 Projected Total Population in Year 2027 Projected_HispanicOrLatino_2027 Projected Hispanic or Latino Population in Year 2027 Projected_NotHisp_WhiteAlone_2027 Projected Non-Hispanic White Alone Population in Year 2027 Projected_NotHisp_BlackOrAfAmAlone_2027 Projected Non-Hispanic Black or African-American Alone Population in Year 2027 Projected_NotHisp_AmIndianOrAKNativeAlone_2027 Projected Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native Alone Population in Year 2027 Projected_NotHisp_AsianAlone_2027 Projected Non-Hispanic Asian Alone Population in Year 2027 Projected_NotHisp_PacificIslanderAlone_2027 Projected Non-Hispanic Pacific Islander Alone Population in Year 2027 Projected_NotHisp_OtherRaceAlone_2027 Projected Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Alone Population in Year 2027 Projected_NotHisp_TwoOrMoreRaces_2027 Projected Non-Hispanic Two or More Races Population in Year 2027 Projected_TotalPop_2028 Projected Total Population in Year 2028 Projected_HispanicOrLatino_2028 Projected Hispanic or Latino Population in Year 2028 Projected_NotHisp_WhiteAlone_2028 Projected Non-Hispanic White Alone Population in Year 2028 Projected_NotHisp_BlackOrAfAmAlone_2028 Projected Non-Hispanic Black or African-American Alone Population in Year 2028 Projected_NotHisp_AmIndianOrAKNativeAlone_2028 Projected Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native Alone Population in Year 2028 Projected_NotHisp_AsianAlone_2028 Projected Non-Hispanic Asian Alone Population in Year 2028 Projected_NotHisp_PacificIslanderAlone_2028 Projected Non-Hispanic Pacific Islander Alone Population in Year 2028 Projected_NotHisp_OtherRaceAlone_2028 Projected Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Alone Population in Year 2028 Projected_NotHisp_TwoOrMoreRaces_2028 Projected Non-Hispanic Two or More Races Population in Year 2028 Projected_TotalPop_2029 Projected Total Population in Year 2029 Projected_HispanicOrLatino_2029 Projected Hispanic or Latino Population in Year 2029 Projected_NotHisp_WhiteAlone_2029 Projected Non-Hispanic White Alone Population in Year 2029 Projected_NotHisp_BlackOrAfAmAlone_2029 Projected Non-Hispanic Black or African-American Alone Population in Year 2029 Projected_NotHisp_AmIndianOrAKNativeAlone_2029 Projected Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native Alone Population in Year 2029 Projected_NotHisp_AsianAlone_2029 Projected Non-Hispanic Asian Alone Population in Year 2029 Projected_NotHisp_PacificIslanderAlone_2029 Projected Non-Hispanic Pacific Islander Alone Population in Year 2029 Projected_NotHisp_OtherRaceAlone_2029 Projected Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Alone Population in Year 2029 Projected_NotHisp_TwoOrMoreRaces_2029 Projected Non-Hispanic Two or More Races Population in Year 2029 Projected_TotalPop_2030 Projected Total Population in Year 2030 Projected_HispanicOrLatino_2030 Projected Hispanic or Latino Population in Year 2030 Projected_NotHisp_WhiteAlone_2030 Projected Non-Hispanic White Alone Population in Year 2030 Projected_NotHisp_BlackOrAfAmAlone_2030 Projected Non-Hispanic Black or African-American Alone Population in Year 2030 Projected_NotHisp_AmIndianOrAKNativeAlone_2030 Projected Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native Alone Population in Year 2030 Projected_NotHisp_AsianAlone_2030 Projected Non-Hispanic Asian Alone Population in Year 2030 Projected_NotHisp_PacificIslanderAlone_2030 Projected Non-Hispanic Pacific Islander Alone Population in Year 2030 Projected_NotHisp_OtherRaceAlone_2030 Projected Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Alone Population in Year 2030 Projected_NotHisp_TwoOrMoreRaces_2030 Projected Non-Hispanic Two or More Races Population in Year 2030 Projected_TotalPop_2031 Projected Total Population in Year 2031 Projected_HispanicOrLatino_2031 Projected Hispanic or Latino Population in Year 2031 Projected_NotHisp_WhiteAlone_2031 Projected Non-Hispanic White Alone Population in Year 2031 Projected_NotHisp_BlackOrAfAmAlone_2031 Projected Non-Hispanic Black or African-American Alone Population in Year 2031 Projected_NotHisp_AmIndianOrAKNativeAlone_2031 Projected Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native Alone Population in Year 2031 Projected_NotHisp_AsianAlone_2031 Projected Non-Hispanic Asian Alone Population in Year 2031 Projected_NotHisp_PacificIslanderAlone_2031 Projected Non-Hispanic Pacific Islander Alone Population in Year 2031 Projected_NotHisp_OtherRaceAlone_2031 Projected Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Alone Population in Year 2031 Projected_NotHisp_TwoOrMoreRaces_2031 Projected Non-Hispanic Two or More Races Population in Year 2031 Projected_TotalPop_2032 Projected Total Population in Year 2032 Projected_HispanicOrLatino_2032 Projected Hispanic or Latino Population in Year 2032 Projected_NotHisp_WhiteAlone_2032 Projected Non-Hispanic White Alone Population in Year 2032 Projected_NotHisp_BlackOrAfAmAlone_2032 Projected Non-Hispanic Black or African-American Alone Population in Year 2032 Projected_NotHisp_AmIndianOrAKNativeAlone_2032 Projected Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native Alone Population in Year 2032 Projected_NotHisp_AsianAlone_2032 Projected Non-Hispanic Asian Alone Population in Year 2032 Projected_NotHisp_PacificIslanderAlone_2032 Projected Non-Hispanic Pacific Islander Alone Population in Year 2032 Projected_NotHisp_OtherRaceAlone_2032 Projected Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Alone Population in Year 2032 Projected_NotHisp_TwoOrMoreRaces_2032 Projected Non-Hispanic Two or More Races Population in Year 2032 Projected_TotalPop_2033 Projected Total Population in Year 2033 Projected_HispanicOrLatino_2033 Projected Hispanic or Latino Population in Year 2033 Projected_NotHisp_WhiteAlone_2033 Projected Non-Hispanic White Alone Population in Year 2033 Projected_NotHisp_BlackOrAfAmAlone_2033 Projected Non-Hispanic Black or African-American Alone Population in Year 2033 Projected_NotHisp_AmIndianOrAKNativeAlone_2033 Projected Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native Alone Population in Year 2033 Projected_NotHisp_AsianAlone_2033 Projected Non-Hispanic Asian Alone Population in Year 2033 Projected_NotHisp_PacificIslanderAlone_2033 Projected Non-Hispanic Pacific Islander Alone Population in Year 2033 Projected_NotHisp_OtherRaceAlone_2033 Projected Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Alone Population in Year 2033 Projected_NotHisp_TwoOrMoreRaces_2033 Projected Non-Hispanic Two or More Races Population in Year 2033 Projected_TotalPop_2034 Projected Total Population in Year 2034 Projected_HispanicOrLatino_2034 Projected Hispanic or Latino Population in Year 2034 Projected_NotHisp_WhiteAlone_2034 Projected Non-Hispanic White Alone Population in Year 2034 Projected_NotHisp_BlackOrAfAmAlone_2034 Projected Non-Hispanic Black or African-American Alone Population in Year 2034 Projected_NotHisp_AmIndianOrAKNativeAlone_2034 Projected Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native Alone Population in Year 2034 Projected_NotHisp_AsianAlone_2034 Projected Non-Hispanic Asian Alone Population in Year 2034 Projected_NotHisp_PacificIslanderAlone_2034 Projected Non-Hispanic Pacific Islander Alone Population in Year 2034 Projected_NotHisp_OtherRaceAlone_2034 Projected Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Alone Population in Year 2034 Projected_NotHisp_TwoOrMoreRaces_2034 Projected Non-Hispanic Two or More Races Population in Year 2034 Projected_TotalPop_2035 Projected Total Population in Year 2035 Projected_HispanicOrLatino_2035 Projected Hispanic or Latino Population in Year 2035 Projected_NotHisp_WhiteAlone_2035 Projected Non-Hispanic White Alone Population in Year 2035 Projected_NotHisp_BlackOrAfAmAlone_2035 Projected Non-Hispanic Black or African-American Alone Population in Year 2035 Projected_NotHisp_AmIndianOrAKNativeAlone_2035 Projected Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaskan Native Alone Population in Year 2035 Projected_NotHisp_AsianAlone_2035 Projected Non-Hispanic Asian Alone Population in Year 2035 Projected_NotHisp_PacificIslanderAlone_2035 Projected Non-Hispanic Pacific Islander Alone Population in Year 2035 Projected_NotHisp_OtherRaceAlone_2035 Projected Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Alone Population in Year 2035 Projected_NotHisp_TwoOrMoreRaces_2035 Projected Non-Hispanic Two or More Races Population in Year 2035 ## Processing Steps Data were retrieved from the sources listed above. ACS variables were pulled from their corresponding B03002 table values. PL data were pulled from the corresponding P2 table values. First, the total population change was calculated between 2023 and 2020. This is a standard linear growth rate where (2023 values - 2020 values) / 2020 values * 100 = percent change. In instances of 0 in the ACS, % change is initialized to 0. In instances of 0/0, percent change is also initialized to 0. In instances where the Census data was >0 but the ACS was 0. If the county percent change is null, the state rate is used in its place. These data were grouped at the state level to create state total populations and percent changes. For the percent changes of both the county and state data, maximum and minimum rates of change were implemented to best reflect reasonable growth and generally align with existing population projections at the state level (minimum of -3% and maximum of 15%). The population share of the total population in a county, relative to its state, is derived by dividing the ACS value by the ACS state value. The rate of changes are then updated using weights and capping. The size of the population in the county is used as a factor for determining various weights and caps. If the population being projected is under 150 in the ACS, the max growth rate is capped at 6%, populations >150 and <1000 are capped at 9% and populations 1000 or greater are capped at 12%. Likewise, for the same population counts, the minimum growth rates are capped at -1%, -2% and -3%. Weights are then computed dynamically. If the population being projected is under 100, it takes a larger share of the state rate. If it's over 1000, a larger share of the group rate is taken. Populations between 100 and 1000 are dynamically weighted given their population. The updated blended rate is returned and then annual rate of change is determined. Because we are working with population data, a compounding growth rate is used where the starting point population is multiplied by the annual percentage growth rate. Projections for individual racial and ethnic categories are calculated in the same way as the total population, but they also use total population rates of change in their updated weighting. Because the data are calculated on independent ratios, they are not horizontally integrated, meaning not all racial categories sum to the total of the county. To remedy this, a horizontal integration is performed where the values of the racial categories are adjusted to align with the total population using a scaling factor, where the factor = total population / racial category sum, and then multiplied by the categories value to get the aligned population. Due to rounding issues and preserving populations as whole integers, an additional residual correction is performed, similar to a Hamilton rounding method. Verifications were performed to ensure that all data are summed correctly. The data was also cross-referenced with alternative sources of state population projections to ensure reasonable estimates. ## Additional Notes Visit the RDH GitHub and the processing script for this dataset [here](https://github.com/nonpartisan-redistricting-datahub) Please direct questions related to processing this dataset to info@redistrictingdatahub.org.